•ESnet traffic doubling/year since 1990
•SLAC capacity increasing by 90%/year since 1982
–SLAC Internet traffic increased by factor 2.5 in last year
•International throughput increase by factor 10 in 4 years
•So traffic increases by factor 10 in 3.5 to 4 years, so in:
–3.5 to 5 years 622 Mbps => 10Gbps
–3-4 years 155 Mbps => 1Gbps
–3.5-5 years 45Mbps => 622Mbps
•2010-2012:
–100s Gbits for high speed production net end connections
–10Gbps will be mundane for R&E and business
–Home: doubling ~ every 2 years, 100Mbits/s by end of decade?